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OpEx Dynamics

๐Ÿ“… OpEx Dynamics

OpEx โ€” monthly options expiration โ€” falls on the third Friday of every month. A large fraction of open interest rolls off that day, which mechanically reshapes the gamma board. The two effects worth knowing are pinning into OpEx and the post-OpEx drift.

Pinning into OpEx#

When a strike has dominant open interest and dealers are long gamma there, their hedging is mean-reverting. As price drifts above the strike they sell; as it drifts below they buy. The result is often a tight range around the strike into Friday's close.

The post-OpEx drift#

After Friday's close, the bulk of expiring open interest is gone. The board re-weights toward later expirations, and because dealers often held net long gamma in the expiring tenor, aggregate gamma usually drops. Less mean-reverting hedging = bigger realized moves the following week โ€” this is the widely observed post-OpEx weakness effect.

How to read it on GammaBaba#

  • Open the GEX Multi-Panel during OpEx week to compare the expiring tenor against the next two.
  • Use the GEX Flow panel over Friday โ†’ Monday to quantify how much aggregate gamma rolled off.
  • On Monday, check whether the new King Strike is meaningfully far from spot โ€” that extension often sets the week's tone.

๐Ÿ”‘ Key Takeaways

  • OpEx = 3rd Friday โ€” major open-interest roll-off.
  • Pinning: dominant long-gamma strike + spot near it = tight Friday range.
  • Post-OpEx drift: gamma drops, realized vol typically expands.
  • Single-stock OpEx effects > index OpEx effects (due to 0DTE/weeklies).